At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
57.4
▲ L5 70.0
Rec/g
4.6
▲ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
6.3
▲ L5 7.8
Rec TD/g
0.28
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 78% | 100% | 88% | 70% |
| 49.5 | 61% | 60% | 50% | 70% |
| 59.5 | 44% | 60% | 25% | 60% |
| 69.5 | 39% | 60% | 13% | 60% |
| 79.5 | 22% | 40% | 13% | 30% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 0% | 30% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 80% | 88% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 60% | 63% | 70% |
| 4.5 | 56% | 60% | 38% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 39% | 60% | 25% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 40% | 25% | 20% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 78% | 80% | 75% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 39% | 60% | 25% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 22% | 60% | 13% | 30% |
| 10.5 | 11% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
21%
Rec EPA/game
2.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
54.4
8 g
Away
59.8
10 g
In wins
55.2
11 g
In losses
60.9
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ LA | L 11-34 | -4 | 49.5 | 11 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 137 | 10 | 32% |
| 1 | @ TEN | W 38-13 | -2.5 | 54 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 2 | 60 | 10 | 16% |
| 2 | vs MIN | W 34-33 | +4 | 51 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 0 | 95 | 4 | 12% |
| 3 | @ JAX | W 31-19 | +8 | 51.5 | 8 | 7 | 104 | 0 | 110 | 37 | 24% |
| 4 | @ LA | W 37-20 | -3.5 | 53.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3% |
| 5 | vs SF | W 17-10 | +6 | 48.5 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 18% |
| 6 | @ CLE | W 37-14 | -3 | 48 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 1 | 113 | 7 | 29% |
| 7 | vs HOU | W 31-5 | +20.5 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 65 | 5 | 18% |
| 8 | vs GB | L 21-24 | +6.5 | 51 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 81 | 7 | 19% |
| 9 | @ SF | W 31-17 | -5.5 | 44.5 | 6 | 6 | 91 | 0 | 56 | 35 | 23% |
| 10 | vs CAR | L 10-34 | +7 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 0 | 52 | 18 | 28% |
| 11 | @ SEA | W 23-13 | -2.5 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 11% |
| 13 | @ CHI | W 33-22 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 20% |
| 14 | vs LA | L 23-30 | +3 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 86 | 0 | 135 | 5 | 12% |
| 15 | @ DET | L 12-30 | +13 | 48 | 12 | 9 | 94 | 1 | 104 | 31 | 25% |
| 16 | vs IND | L 16-22 | +3 | 48 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 0 | 91 | 16 | 23% |
| 17 | @ DAL | W 25-22 | -6.5 | 53 | 9 | 6 | 79 | 0 | 112 | 32 | 24% |
| 18 | vs SEA | L 30-38 | +5.5 | 48 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 52 | 3 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).