At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
65.6
▼ L5 62.6
Rec/g
4.8
▼ L5 3.6
Tgt/g
7.1
▼ L5 6.0
Rec TD/g
0.25
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 83% | 80% | 86% | 80% |
| 49.5 | 58% | 40% | 57% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 50% | 40% | 43% | 60% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 40% | 43% | 60% |
| 79.5 | 42% | 40% | 43% | 40% |
| 89.5 | 25% | 20% | 29% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 80% | 86% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 60% | 57% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 20% | 43% | 40% |
| 5.5 | 42% | 20% | 43% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 83% | 80% | 86% | 80% |
| 6.5 | 42% | 40% | 43% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 25% | 20% | 43% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 20% | 43% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
3%
Air-yards share
5%
Rec EPA/game
1.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
67.9
7 g
Away
62.4
5 g
In wins
61.6
8 g
In losses
73.5
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ IND | W 31-21 | +4 | 45.5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 9% |
| 2 | vs KC | L 9-17 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 14 | 11 | 110 | 0 | 77 | 48 | 34% |
| 3 | vs HOU | L 17-37 | +7.5 | 43.5 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 1 | 84 | 1 | 15% |
| 4 | vs ATL | W 23-7 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 12 | 8 | 84 | 0 | 83 | 29 | 40% |
| 5 | @ BUF | W 25-20 | -5.5 | 48.5 | 8 | 6 | 78 | 0 | 55 | 25 | 22% |
| 6 | vs IND | W 37-20 | +4 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 49 | 1 | 84 | 13 | 21% |
| 7 | @ NO | W 31-24 | -2.5 | 41 | 6 | 6 | 90 | 1 | 45 | 45 | 20% |
| 8 | @ PIT | W 20-10 | +2.5 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 50 | 3 | 16% |
| 10 | vs SF | L 3-34 | -3 | 44.5 | 11 | 6 | 104 | 0 | 151 | 37 | 35% |
| 11 | vs TEN | W 34-14 | +6.5 | 40 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 81 | 5 | 19% |
| 12 | @ HOU | W 24-21 | +1 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 89 | 0 | 88 | 39 | 19% |
| 13 | vs CIN | L 31-34 | +10 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 3% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).