At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
65.2
▼ L5 55.8
Rec/g
5.2
▼ L5 4.4
Tgt/g
8.5
▼ L5 6.8
Rec TD/g
0.53
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 79% | 60% | 89% | 70% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 40% | 67% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 58% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 53% | 40% | 67% | 40% |
| 79.5 | 32% | 40% | 33% | 30% |
| 89.5 | 32% | 40% | 33% | 30% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 84% | 80% | 89% | 80% |
| 3.5 | 74% | 60% | 78% | 70% |
| 4.5 | 63% | 60% | 67% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 58% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 26% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| 7.5 | 16% | 0% | 22% | 10% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 80% | 89% | 90% |
| 6.5 | 74% | 60% | 78% | 70% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 20% | 56% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 0% | 11% | 30% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
28%
Air-yards share
45%
Rec EPA/game
8.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
68.4
9 g
Away
62.2
10 g
In wins
62.9
10 g
In losses
67.7
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LAC | W 31-30 | -2 | 46.5 | 14 | 8 | 78 | 1 | 102 | 26 | 30% |
| 20* | @ KC | L 20-27 | -10 | 52.5 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 1 | 145 | 13 | 37% |
| 1 | @ WAS | L 22-28 | -3 | 43.5 | 12 | 6 | 117 | 0 | 128 | 50 | 32% |
| 2 | vs IND | W 24-0 | -3 | 43.5 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 2 | 44 | 34 | 20% |
| 3 | @ LAC | W 38-10 | -6.5 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 1 | 57 | 26 | 24% |
| 4 | @ PHI | L 21-29 | -6.5 | 44 | 9 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 78 | 12 | 39% |
| 5 | vs HOU | L 6-13 | +7 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 64 | 6 | 7% |
| 6 | @ IND | L 27-34 | -1 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 23% |
| 7 | vs NYG | L 17-23 | +3 | 44 | 10 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 130 | 22 | 23% |
| 8 | vs DEN | L 17-21 | +1 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 49 | 23 | 25% |
| 9 | vs LV | W 27-20 | -2.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 8 | 76 | 1 | 61 | 15 | 31% |
| 10 | @ KC | L 17-27 | -10 | 51.5 | 12 | 9 | 105 | 2 | 101 | 27 | 31% |
| 12 | vs BAL | W 28-27 | -3.5 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 63 | 18 | 24% |
| 13 | @ DET | L 14-40 | -1 | 51.5 | 8 | 6 | 104 | 0 | 89 | 40 | 24% |
| 14 | @ TEN | W 36-22 | -3 | 42 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 17% |
| 15 | vs DAL | W 40-34 | -4 | 48.5 | 10 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 135 | 14 | 24% |
| 16 | @ NYJ | W 19-3 | -2.5 | 36.5 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 34 | 21 | 20% |
| 17 | @ HOU | W 31-3 | +3.5 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 11% |
| 18 | vs TEN | W 20-16 | +6 | 39.5 | 8 | 6 | 99 | 1 | 112 | 11 | 28% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).