At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
73.7
▲ L5 91.4
Rec/g
5.2
▲ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
6.3
▲ L5 6.6
Rec TD/g
0.53
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 87% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| 49.5 | 73% | 80% | 75% | 71% |
| 59.5 | 60% | 80% | 75% | 43% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 60% | 50% | 43% |
| 79.5 | 40% | 60% | 50% | 29% |
| 89.5 | 33% | 60% | 50% | 14% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 87% | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 60% | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| 5.5 | 53% | 60% | 63% | 43% |
| 6.5 | 27% | 40% | 25% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 20% | 40% | 25% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 73% | 80% | 88% | 57% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 60% | 63% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 13% | 20% | 13% | 14% |
| 10.5 | 7% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
7%
Air-yards share
11%
Rec EPA/game
0.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
86.6
8 g
Away
59.0
7 g
In wins
79.8
6 g
In losses
69.7
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs NYJ | W 32-19 | +3.5 | 43 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 17% |
| 2 | @ MIN | L 17-23 | +4.5 | 46.5 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 1 | 58 | 45 | 22% |
| 4 | vs NE | W 30-13 | +10.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 15% |
| 5 | vs ARI | L 23-24 | +7 | 48.5 | 12 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 38% |
| 6 | @ SEA | W 36-24 | +3.5 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 58 | 2 | 52 | 15 | 22% |
| 7 | vs KC | L 18-28 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 77 | 26 | 23% |
| 8 | vs DAL | W 30-24 | +5.5 | 48 | 7 | 6 | 128 | 1 | 81 | 71 | 28% |
| 10 | @ TB | W 23-20 | +6.5 | 50.5 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 1 | 34 | 33 | 12% |
| 12 | @ GB | L 10-38 | -6.5 | 44.5 | 6 | 6 | 82 | 1 | 51 | 31 | 23% |
| 13 | @ BUF | L 10-35 | -6.5 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12% |
| 14 | vs CHI | W 38-13 | +3 | 43.5 | 6 | 6 | 151 | 0 | 48 | 103 | 23% |
| 15 | vs LA | L 6-12 | +3 | 48.5 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 119 | 22 | 23% |
| 16 | @ MIA | L 17-29 | +2 | 44 | 9 | 8 | 106 | 0 | 37 | 72 | 24% |
| 17 | vs DET | L 34-40 | -4 | 50.5 | 8 | 8 | 112 | 0 | 58 | 54 | 22% |
| 18 | @ ARI | L 24-47 | -4.5 | 42.5 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 36 | 12 | 7% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).