At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
59.9
▲ L5 60.8
Rec/g
4.6
▲ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
6.4
▲ L5 6.6
Rec TD/g
0.41
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 53% | 40% | 71% | 40% |
| 49.5 | 47% | 40% | 57% | 40% |
| 59.5 | 41% | 40% | 43% | 40% |
| 69.5 | 35% | 40% | 43% | 30% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 40% | 43% | 20% |
| 89.5 | 29% | 40% | 43% | 20% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 71% | 60% | 71% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 60% | 71% | 70% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 60% | 57% | 30% |
| 5.5 | 29% | 40% | 43% | 20% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 20% | 14% | 20% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 65% | 60% | 71% | 60% |
| 6.5 | 41% | 40% | 57% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 24% | 20% | 29% | 20% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
10%
Rec EPA/game
-7.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
59.7
7 g
Away
60.0
10 g
In wins
50.5
11 g
In losses
77.0
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ DAL | W 23-17 | -3 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 12% |
| 20* | @ GB | W 13-10 | -5.5 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 63 | 0 | 75 | 26 | 33% |
| 21* | @ LA | L 17-20 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 55 | 4 | 17% |
| 1 | @ DET | W 41-33 | +9.5 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 28 | 57 | 22% |
| 2 | @ PHI | W 17-11 | +3 | 49 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 0 | -6 | 23 | 13% |
| 3 | vs GB | L 28-30 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 9 | 7 | 92 | 0 | 82 | 59 | 24% |
| 4 | vs SEA | L 21-28 | +2.5 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 92 | 22 | 26% |
| 9 | vs ARI | L 17-31 | +5.5 | 44.5 | 8 | 6 | 101 | 1 | 116 | 18 | 21% |
| 10 | vs LA | W 31-10 | -3.5 | 50 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 | 45 | 23 | 37% |
| 11 | @ JAX | W 30-10 | +6.5 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 20% |
| 12 | vs MIN | W 34-26 | +3.5 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8% |
| 13 | @ SEA | L 23-30 | +3 | 44.5 | 12 | 9 | 181 | 2 | 103 | 108 | 40% |
| 14 | @ CIN | W 26-23 | +2.5 | 49 | 15 | 13 | 151 | 1 | 138 | 57 | 41% |
| 15 | vs ATL | W 31-13 | +9.5 | 48 | 6 | 6 | 93 | 0 | 50 | 43 | 25% |
| 16 | @ TEN | L 17-20 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 9% |
| 17 | vs HOU | W 23-7 | +14 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 9% |
| 18 | @ LA | W 27-24 | -3 | 46.5 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 30 | 8 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).