At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
59.6
▲ L5 70.6
Rec/g
3.8
▼ L5 3.8
Tgt/g
5.4
▲ L5 5.8
Rec TD/g
0.37
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 58% | 80% | 78% | 40% |
| 49.5 | 58% | 80% | 78% | 40% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 60% | 78% | 30% |
| 69.5 | 42% | 40% | 67% | 20% |
| 79.5 | 32% | 20% | 56% | 10% |
| 89.5 | 21% | 20% | 33% | 10% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 74% | 80% | 78% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 40% | 56% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 20% | 44% | 10% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 20% | 44% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 20% | 44% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 53% | 60% | 67% | 40% |
| 6.5 | 32% | 20% | 56% | 10% |
| 8.5 | 21% | 20% | 44% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 5% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
15%
Air-yards share
21%
Rec EPA/game
0.9
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
79.3
9 g
Away
41.8
10 g
In wins
55.3
14 g
In losses
71.6
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20* | vs GB | W 24-21 | +10.5 | 50.5 | 7 | 4 | 81 | 1 | 78 | 40 | 19% |
| 21* | vs DET | W 34-31 | +7.5 | 52.5 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 35 | 14 | 10% |
| 22* | @ KC | L 22-25 | +1.5 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 8% |
| 1 | @ PIT | W 30-7 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 31 | 15 | 21% |
| 2 | @ LA | W 30-23 | +7.5 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 17 | 13 | 13% |
| 3 | vs NYG | W 30-12 | +10.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 7 | 90 | 0 | 68 | 48 | 26% |
| 4 | vs ARI | W 35-16 | +15 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5% |
| 5 | vs DAL | W 42-10 | +3.5 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 67 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 16% |
| 6 | @ CLE | L 17-19 | +9.5 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | -2 | 8% |
| 7 | @ MIN | L 17-22 | +7 | 44.5 | 7 | 5 | 78 | 0 | 86 | 23 | 24% |
| 8 | vs CIN | L 17-31 | +4 | 44 | 11 | 9 | 149 | 0 | 105 | 59 | 37% |
| 10 | @ JAX | W 34-3 | +3 | 44.5 | 4 | 3 | 116 | 1 | 75 | 53 | 15% |
| 11 | vs TB | W 27-14 | +13.5 | 41.5 | 9 | 8 | 89 | 1 | 52 | 59 | 36% |
| 12 | @ SEA | W 31-13 | +7 | 43.5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 55 | 11 | 17% |
| 13 | @ PHI | W 42-19 | +3 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 68 | 0 | 22 | 48 | 24% |
| 14 | vs SEA | W 28-16 | +14.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 3 | 76 | 1 | 61 | 35 | 19% |
| 15 | @ ARI | W 45-29 | +12.5 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 0 | 65 | 25 | 15% |
| 16 | vs BAL | L 19-33 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 10 | 7 | 126 | 0 | 101 | 64 | 23% |
| 17 | @ WAS | W 27-10 | +14 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 15% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).