At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
229.8
▲ L5 237.6
Pass TD/g
1.68
▲ L5 2.00
Comp/g
19.2
▼ L5 18.0
Att/g
29.7
▼ L5 28.8
INT/g
0.32
▼ L5 0.20
Rush yds/g
33.5
▲ L5 43.0
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 63% | 40% | 60% | 67% |
| 224.5 | 58% | 40% | 60% | 56% |
| 249.5 | 42% | 40% | 40% | 44% |
| 274.5 | 26% | 40% | 10% | 44% |
| 299.5 | 16% | 40% | 10% | 22% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 100% | 90% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 80% | 70% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 20% | 20% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 63% | 40% | 60% | 67% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 40% | 30% | 56% |
| 23.5 | 16% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
| 25.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 26% | 20% | 30% | 22% |
| 1.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
9.8
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
219.8
10 g
Away
241.0
9 g
In wins
231.8
15 g
In losses
222.5
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs DEN | W 31-7 | +7.5 | 48.5 | 20 | 26 | 272 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 14.9 |
| 20* | vs BAL | W 27-25 | -1.5 | 51.5 | 16 | 22 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 135 | -1.7 |
| 21* | @ KC | L 29-32 | -1.5 | 49.5 | 22 | 34 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 299 | 8.2 |
| 1 | vs ARI | W 34-28 | +6.5 | 46 | 18 | 23 | 232 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 166 | 9.2 |
| 2 | @ MIA | W 31-10 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 13 | 19 | 139 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 11.2 |
| 3 | vs JAX | W 47-10 | +4 | 46.5 | 23 | 30 | 263 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 22.4 |
| 4 | @ BAL | L 10-35 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 16 | 29 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 320 | -7.6 |
| 5 | @ HOU | L 20-23 | -1 | 48 | 9 | 30 | 131 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 370 | -5.1 |
| 6 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +1 | 42 | 19 | 25 | 215 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 10.8 |
| 7 | vs TEN | W 34-10 | +9.5 | 41 | 21 | 33 | 323 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 12.9 |
| 8 | @ SEA | W 31-10 | +3 | 45.5 | 24 | 34 | 283 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 12.5 |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 30-27 | +6.5 | 49 | 25 | 39 | 235 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 140 | 7.9 |
| 10 | @ IND | W 30-20 | +4.5 | 46.5 | 22 | 37 | 280 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 258 | -6.5 |
| 11 | vs KC | W 30-21 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 27 | 40 | 262 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 6.0 |
| 13 | vs SF | W 35-10 | +6.5 | 45 | 13 | 17 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 7.5 |
| 14 | @ LA | L 42-44 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 22 | 37 | 342 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 470 | 16.8 |
| 15 | @ DET | W 48-42 | -2.5 | 55.5 | 23 | 34 | 362 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 331 | 19.9 |
| 16 | vs NE | W 24-21 | +14 | 48 | 16 | 29 | 154 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 318 | 1.5 |
| 17 | vs NYJ | W 40-14 | +10 | 44.5 | 16 | 27 | 182 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 9.8 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).