At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
247.1
▼ L5 218.4
Pass TD/g
1.74
▼ L5 1.00
Comp/g
22.7
▼ L5 18.0
Att/g
34.1
▼ L5 29.2
INT/g
0.95
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
35.3
▲ L5 36.4
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 74% | 60% | 55% | 100% |
| 224.5 | 63% | 60% | 45% | 88% |
| 249.5 | 47% | 20% | 45% | 50% |
| 274.5 | 32% | 20% | 36% | 25% |
| 299.5 | 26% | 20% | 27% | 25% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 80% | 91% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 20% | 64% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 40% | 73% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 74% | 40% | 64% | 88% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 40% | 36% | 75% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 20% | 36% | 63% |
| 25.5 | 47% | 20% | 36% | 63% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 80% | 55% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 20% | 9% | 25% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
3.9
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
231.8
11 g
Away
268.1
8 g
In wins
239.6
12 g
In losses
260.0
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 31-17 | +10 | 39.5 | 21 | 30 | 203 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 194 | 3.7 |
| 20* | vs KC | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 26 | 39 | 186 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 5.8 |
| 1 | @ NYJ | L 16-22 | +2.5 | 44.5 | 29 | 41 | 236 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 338 | -1.4 |
| 2 | vs LV | W 38-10 | +7.5 | 47 | 31 | 37 | 274 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 171 | 13.2 |
| 3 | @ WAS | W 37-3 | +5.5 | 44 | 20 | 32 | 218 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 306 | 5.2 |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 48-20 | +2.5 | 53 | 21 | 25 | 320 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 205 | 22.2 |
| 5 | vs JAX | L 20-25 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 27 | 40 | 359 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 443 | 14.9 |
| 6 | vs NYG | W 14-9 | +15.5 | 43.5 | 19 | 30 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 1.2 |
| 7 | @ NE | L 25-29 | +7.5 | 41 | 27 | 41 | 265 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 449 | 8.6 |
| 8 | vs TB | W 24-18 | +10 | 43 | 31 | 40 | 324 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 1.8 |
| 9 | @ CIN | L 18-24 | -1.5 | 51 | 26 | 38 | 258 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 3.6 |
| 10 | vs DEN | L 22-24 | +7.5 | 47.5 | 15 | 26 | 177 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 226 | -5.0 |
| 11 | vs NYJ | W 32-6 | +8 | 39.5 | 20 | 32 | 275 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 12.0 |
| 12 | @ PHI | L 34-37 | -2.5 | 49 | 29 | 51 | 339 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 407 | 7.7 |
| 14 | @ KC | W 20-17 | -2 | 49.5 | 23 | 42 | 233 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 347 | -2.0 |
| 15 | vs DAL | W 31-10 | +2 | 49.5 | 7 | 15 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 118 | -0.5 |
| 16 | @ LAC | W 24-22 | +13 | 44.5 | 15 | 21 | 237 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 10.0 |
| 17 | vs NE | W 27-21 | +15 | 40 | 15 | 30 | 169 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 336 | -4.9 |
| 18 | @ MIA | W 21-14 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 30 | 38 | 359 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 368 | 3.9 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).