At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
272.2
▼ L5 220.0
Pass TD/g
2.11
▲ L5 2.40
Comp/g
22.6
▼ L5 19.4
Att/g
36.0
▼ L5 31.4
INT/g
0.94
▼ L5 0.60
Rush yds/g
44.9
▼ L5 40.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 83% | 60% | 80% | 88% |
| 224.5 | 61% | 40% | 70% | 50% |
| 249.5 | 61% | 40% | 70% | 50% |
| 274.5 | 44% | 20% | 50% | 38% |
| 299.5 | 39% | 20% | 50% | 25% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 90% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 80% | 60% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 20% | 30% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 83% | 60% | 80% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 40% | 60% | 63% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 40% | 50% | 63% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| 25.5 | 28% | 0% | 20% | 38% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 61% | 40% | 60% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 20% | 30% | 38% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
8.4
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
280.7
10 g
Away
261.5
8 g
In wins
264.3
14 g
In losses
299.8
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIA | W 34-31 | +14 | 44 | 23 | 39 | 352 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 608 | -11.8 |
| 20* | vs CIN | L 10-27 | +6 | 48.5 | 25 | 42 | 264 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 382 | -1.8 |
| 1 | @ LA | W 31-10 | +1 | 51.5 | 26 | 31 | 297 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 227 | 13.6 |
| 2 | vs TEN | W 41-7 | +10 | 47.5 | 26 | 38 | 317 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 279 | 16.2 |
| 3 | @ MIA | L 19-21 | +4 | 54 | 42 | 63 | 400 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 378 | 6.2 |
| 4 | @ BAL | W 23-20 | +3 | 50 | 19 | 36 | 213 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 2.1 |
| 5 | vs PIT | W 38-3 | +14 | 44 | 20 | 31 | 424 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 420 | 24.9 |
| 6 | @ KC | W 24-20 | +2.5 | 54 | 27 | 40 | 329 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 295 | 11.2 |
| 8 | vs GB | W 27-17 | +10.5 | 47 | 13 | 25 | 218 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 321 | 0.6 |
| 9 | @ NYJ | L 17-20 | +11 | 46 | 18 | 34 | 205 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 410 | -12.7 |
| 10 | vs MIN | L 30-33 | +6.5 | 47 | 29 | 43 | 330 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 359 | 2.8 |
| 11 | vs CLE | W 31-23 | +7.5 | 50.5 | 18 | 27 | 197 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 210 | 7.0 |
| 12 | @ DET | W 28-25 | +10 | 54 | 24 | 42 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 431 | -0.7 |
| 13 | @ NE | W 24-10 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 22 | 33 | 223 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 267 | 11.8 |
| 14 | vs NYJ | W 20-12 | +10 | 43.5 | 16 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 224 | -4.8 |
| 15 | vs MIA | W 32-29 | +7 | 44 | 25 | 40 | 304 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 428 | 12.6 |
| 16 | @ CHI | W 35-13 | +8 | 40 | 15 | 26 | 172 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 296 | 1.6 |
| 18 | vs NE | W 35-23 | +8 | 44 | 19 | 31 | 254 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 416 | 8.4 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).