At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
265.5
▼ L5 238.2
Pass TD/g
2.37
▼ L5 2.00
Comp/g
24.1
▼ L5 24.0
Att/g
37.3
▲ L5 41.2
INT/g
0.79
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
47.2
▲ L5 68.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 84% | 80% | 80% | 89% |
| 224.5 | 74% | 60% | 60% | 89% |
| 249.5 | 58% | 40% | 30% | 89% |
| 274.5 | 42% | 40% | 20% | 67% |
| 299.5 | 42% | 40% | 20% | 67% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 80% | 90% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 80% | 70% | 89% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 40% | 30% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 20% | 22% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 79% | 80% | 80% | 78% |
| 19.5 | 74% | 60% | 70% | 78% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 60% | 40% | 67% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 60% | 40% | 56% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 40% | 30% | 56% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 53% | 60% | 40% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 20% | 20% | 22% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-1.7
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
235.6
10 g
Away
298.7
9 g
In wins
263.8
12 g
In losses
268.3
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs NE | W 47-17 | +4.5 | 43 | 21 | 25 | 308 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 23.0 |
| 20* | @ KC | L 36-42 | -2.5 | 54 | 27 | 37 | 329 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 298 | 17.1 |
| 1 | vs PIT | L 16-23 | +6.5 | 48 | 30 | 51 | 270 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 487 | -6.1 |
| 2 | @ MIA | W 35-0 | +3.5 | 48 | 17 | 33 | 179 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 314 | 3.8 |
| 3 | vs WAS | W 43-21 | +7.5 | 45.5 | 32 | 43 | 358 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 406 | 18.3 |
| 4 | vs HOU | W 40-0 | +19 | 47.5 | 20 | 30 | 248 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 2.0 |
| 5 | @ KC | W 38-20 | -2.5 | 57 | 15 | 26 | 315 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 14.4 |
| 6 | @ TEN | L 31-34 | +6 | 53.5 | 35 | 47 | 353 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 385 | 14.0 |
| 8 | vs MIA | W 26-11 | +15 | 48.5 | 29 | 42 | 249 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 5.6 |
| 9 | @ JAX | L 6-9 | +14.5 | 48 | 31 | 47 | 264 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 287 | -8.7 |
| 10 | @ NYJ | W 45-17 | +13 | 47 | 21 | 28 | 366 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 362 | 19.0 |
| 11 | vs IND | L 15-41 | +7.5 | 49.5 | 21 | 35 | 209 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 253 | -1.3 |
| 12 | @ NO | W 31-6 | +7 | 45 | 23 | 28 | 260 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 169 | 11.4 |
| 13 | vs NE | L 10-14 | +3 | 40 | 15 | 30 | 145 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 311 | -7.1 |
| 14 | @ TB | L 27-33 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 36 | 54 | 308 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 271 | -3.4 |
| 15 | vs CAR | W 31-14 | +14 | 43 | 19 | 34 | 210 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 299 | 6.9 |
| 16 | @ NE | W 33-21 | -1 | 43.5 | 30 | 47 | 314 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 21.6 |
| 17 | vs ATL | W 29-15 | +14 | 46.5 | 11 | 26 | 120 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 235 | -7.8 |
| 18 | vs NYJ | W 27-10 | +16 | 43 | 24 | 45 | 239 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 407 | -1.7 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).