MLB · NL Central

Jake Bauers

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Milwaukee Brewers1B · SPBats: L · Throws: L

FormHotPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Jake Bauers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
70%53%60%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%27%27%
Over 2.5
0%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
10%17%19%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%33%40%
Over 2.5
30%30%31%
Over 3.5
20%27%24%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.267↑

OBP

.366

SLG

.495

OPS

.861

26%

Last 10: 11-for-31 (.355) · 1 HR · 7 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 391 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.447

Avg Exit V

92.7 mph

Barrel %

13.7%

Hard-Hit %

62.8%

Chase %

20.4%

Whiff %

25.5%

K %

25.8%

BB %

12.8%

Where he hits it

53%

Pull

20%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 31% of BIP · 102.6 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.823OPS95 PA

vs RHP.874OPS296 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

0 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

Nothing matches these filters yet. Reset.

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.373

xSLG

.685

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

114.8

EV90

107.8

Launch angle

10.6°

Sweet-spot%

37.2%

Avg distance

312 ft

EV on barrels

106.6

EV on hard-hit

102.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

63.2%

O-Contact%

45.9%

Z-Contact%

84.6%

Contact%

74.5%

SwStr%

10.3%

CSW%

28.4%

In-zone%

47.1%

1st-pitch swing%

33.0%

2-strike K%

49.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.573

7d K%

5.0%

7d Barrel%

18.8%

7d Whiff%

14.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.441

14d K%

22.5%

14d Barrel%

11.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.501

30d K%

26.6%

30d Barrel%

16.4%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.478

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.415

Behind xwOBA(con)

.411

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.400

Ahead Whiff%

19.3%

2-strike Whiff%

24.4%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.342

RISP

.483

Loaded

.259

High leverage

.392

Clutch

.502

Innings 1-3

.493

Innings 4-6

.438

Innings 7+

.413

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

18%

Heart

43%

Shadow

19%

Chase

20%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 4.1 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalSeason-to-date

Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA

4-Seam

Other

96%

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Break	Zone%	SwStr%	xwOBA
4-Seam	3.8%	79.3	1970	2.1	0.0%	0.0%	—

Based on 80 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.424

1st-pitch strike%

41.4%

Putaway%

25.0%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

7.20

L5 FIP

4.50

L5 K/9

1.8

L5 BB/9

5.4

L5 HR/9

0.0

IP/start

1.0

Pitches/start

16.0

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.210

vs RHB xwOBA

.537

1st time xwOBA

.439

2nd time xwOBA

.000

Inn 7+ ERA

5.51

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.625

7d K%

10.0%

7d velo

66.8

14d xwOBA

.625

14d K%

10.0%

30d xwOBA

.625

30d K%

10.0%

30d velo

66.8

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Jake Bauers OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 12, 2026 · -145

WIN

Jake Bauers OVER 0.5 Hits

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 11, 2026 · -150

WIN

Jake Bauers OVER 0.5 Hits

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 10, 2026 · -140

WIN

Jake Bauers OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers · Jun 17, 2026 · -110

LOSS

Jake Bauers OVER 0.5 Hits

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers · Jun 12, 2026 · -159

WIN

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.