MLB · NL Central

Lars Nootbaar

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

St. Louis CardinalsOFBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Lars Nootbaar has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
50%50%57%
Over 1.5▼ cold
10%13%19%
Over 2.5
0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%3%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
20%23%30%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%7%17%
Over 3.5
0%3%6%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.234↓

OBP

.332

SLG

.351

OPS

.682

22%

Last 10: 6-for-32 (.188) · 0 HR · 7 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 178 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.376

Avg Exit V

91.6 mph

Barrel %

9.6%

Hard-Hit %

55.6%

Chase %

18.0%

Whiff %

18.0%

K %

21.9%

BB %

12.9%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

31%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 16% of BIP · 106.4 mph · 21° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.483OPS36 PA

vs RHP.731OPS142 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	52	.296	.507	.389	14.5%	26.9%	69.6%	14.4%	96.7 mph	18.0°
Changeup	37	.094	.094	.261	18.6%	18.9%	28.0%	4.0%	85.4 mph	0.6°
Slider	35	.203	.331	.313	35.2%	31.4%	52.6%	15.7%	89.1 mph	2.4°
Sinker	35	.251	.251	.319	7.8%	8.6%	46.4%	0.0%	91.1 mph	3.1°
Curveball	8	.500	.875	.601	21.4%	12.5%	71.4%	14.3%	97.7 mph	4.3°
Cutter	6	.167	.333	.223	13.3%	33.3%	50.0%	25.0%	98.5 mph	17.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.324

xSLG

.571

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.8

EV90

106.3

Launch angle

6.9°

Sweet-spot%

35.6%

Avg distance

268 ft

EV on barrels

104.4

EV on hard-hit

101.4

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

52.3%

O-Contact%

58.5%

Z-Contact%

89.8%

Contact%

82.0%

SwStr%

6.3%

CSW%

30.5%

In-zone%

50.7%

1st-pitch swing%

18.6%

2-strike K%

39.8%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.316

7d K%

25.0%

7d Barrel%

13.3%

7d Whiff%

20.0%

14d xwOBA(con)

.329

14d K%

20.4%

14d Barrel%

9.7%

30d xwOBA(con)

.302

30d K%

21.2%

30d Barrel%

7.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.373

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.249

Behind xwOBA(con)

.468

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.462

Ahead Whiff%

20.5%

2-strike Whiff%

20.6%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.297

RISP

.344

Loaded

.000

High leverage

.307

Clutch

.396

Innings 1-3

.376

Innings 4-6

.306

Innings 7+

.459

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Lars Nootbaar OVER 1.5 Total Bases

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals · Jun 17, 2026 · +145

LOSS

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