MLB · AL Central

Luke Keaschall

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Minnesota Twins2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Luke Keaschall has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%60%65%
Over 1.5▼ cold
10%17%19%
Over 2.5
0%0%2%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%7%4%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
10%27%31%
Over 2.5
10%13%13%
Over 3.5
0%7%6%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.258↓

OBP

.350

SLG

.342

OPS

.692

15%

Last 10: 7-for-31 (.226) · 0 HR · 6 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 403 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.292

Avg Exit V

84.7 mph

Barrel %

2.8%

Hard-Hit %

35.8%

Chase %

22.6%

Whiff %

15.4%

K %

15.1%

BB %

9.9%

Where he hits it

41%

Pull

27%

Center

32%

Oppo

Pull-air 18% of BIP · 91.0 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.625OPS128 PA

vs RHP.723OPS275 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	32	.222	.407	.320	14.5%	21.9%	28.6%	4.8%	86.7 mph	30.8°
Changeup	29	.214	.214	.226	25.5%	13.8%	16.0%	0.0%	80.4 mph	10.3°
Sinker	19	.385	.385	.365	3.9%	10.5%	46.2%	0.0%	92.9 mph	6.7°
Slider	17	.286	.429	.264	34.4%	35.3%	22.2%	0.0%	80.1 mph	15.4°
Cutter	15	.214	.214	.361	11.5%	13.3%	41.7%	16.7%	85.3 mph	15.8°
Curveball	14	.154	.154	.218	10.0%	7.1%	8.3%	0.0%	79.3 mph	11.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.286

xSLG

.406

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.3

EV90

101.1

Launch angle

16.8°

Sweet-spot%

37.9%

Avg distance

265 ft

EV on barrels

102.8

EV on hard-hit

99.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

61.7%

O-Contact%

66.9%

Z-Contact%

91.3%

Contact%

84.6%

SwStr%

6.4%

CSW%

25.3%

In-zone%

48.9%

1st-pitch swing%

22.6%

2-strike K%

35.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.288

7d K%

11.1%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

14.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.286

14d K%

16.3%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.282

30d K%

13.6%

30d Barrel%

1.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.262

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.322

Behind xwOBA(con)

.256

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.233

Ahead Whiff%

11.0%

2-strike Whiff%

17.0%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.299

RISP

.418

Loaded

.263

High leverage

.326

Clutch

.315

Innings 1-3

.242

Innings 4-6

.339

Innings 7+

.290

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Luke Keaschall OVER 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs · Jul 19, 2026 · -148

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Luke Keaschall OVER 0.5 HR

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LOSS

Luke Keaschall OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers · Jun 17, 2026 · +188

WIN

Luke Keaschall OVER 1.5 Total Bases

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Learn the betting side

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