MLB · AL West

Luke Raley

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle MarinersOFBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Luke Raley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
30%40%43%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%3%14%
Over 2.5
0%0%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
0%3%15%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
0%17%26%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%3%19%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%3%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.223

OBP

.279

SLG

.434

OPS

.713

32%

Last 10: 4-for-20 (.200) · 1 HR · 8 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 287 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.484

Avg Exit V

89.2 mph

Barrel %

15.7%

Hard-Hit %

54.6%

Chase %

34.6%

Whiff %

38.5%

K %

32.4%

BB %

4.9%

Where he hits it

52%

Pull

22%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 36% of BIP · 101.9 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.378OPS27 PA

vs RHP.749OPS260 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	89	.253	.557	.413	30.9%	25.8%	57.6%	22.0%	91.3 mph	24.7°
Changeup	58	.182	.291	.247	48.4%	41.4%	25.0%	9.4%	84.2 mph	1.5°
Slider	44	.220	.390	.250	47.2%	43.2%	48.0%	8.0%	87.2 mph	15.1°
Cutter	30	.346	.808	.440	18.0%	16.7%	36.4%	13.6%	87.7 mph	17.6°
Sinker	19	.210	.368	.452	27.5%	26.3%	66.7%	33.3%	98.3 mph	11.3°
Curveball	18	.176	.353	.300	43.1%	50.0%	70.0%	30.0%	97.1 mph	8.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.390

xSLG

.753

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

113.8

EV90

105.5

Launch angle

13.8°

Sweet-spot%

42.4%

Avg distance

303 ft

EV on barrels

105.8

EV on hard-hit

102.3

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

76.7%

O-Contact%

37.1%

Z-Contact%

74.2%

Contact%

61.5%

SwStr%

20.7%

CSW%

32.3%

In-zone%

46.0%

1st-pitch swing%

37.6%

2-strike K%

57.1%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.329

7d K%

41.7%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

43.5%

14d xwOBA(con)

.460

14d K%

32.1%

14d Barrel%

11.8%

30d xwOBA(con)

.405

30d K%

33.3%

30d Barrel%

10.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.453

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.543

Behind xwOBA(con)

.397

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.471

Ahead Whiff%

32.5%

2-strike Whiff%

38.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.316

RISP

.353

Loaded

.333

High leverage

.322

Clutch

.358

Innings 1-3

.456

Innings 4-6

.540

Innings 7+

.431

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins · Jul 9, 2026 · -149

WIN

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins · Jul 7, 2026 · -122

WIN

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 5, 2026 · -117

WIN

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jun 24, 2026 · -109

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

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