MLB · NL Central

Matt McLain

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati Reds2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdPowerAverage

The read

League-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Matt McLain has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
20%40%44%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%7%16%
Over 2.5
0%0%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%7%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
0%17%24%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%10%13%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%7%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.187↓

OBP

.287

SLG

.318

OPS

.605

27%

Last 10: 2-for-25 (.080) · 0 HR · 11 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 324 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.373

Avg Exit V

86.9 mph

Barrel %

8.7%

Hard-Hit %

38.8%

Chase %

25.6%

Whiff %

24.7%

K %

27.2%

BB %

11.4%

Where he hits it

38%

Pull

31%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 90.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.691OPS76 PA

vs RHP.579OPS248 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	14	.143	.357	.288	19.7%	21.4%	32.1%	8.0%	88.1 mph	35.4°
Curveball	23	.112	.112	.357	31.0%	21.7%	71.1%	5.4%	95.0 mph	10.7°
Slider	95	.182	.342	.288	27.9%	30.5%	31.0%	12.5%	85.9 mph	22.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.328

xSLG

.553

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

110.5

EV90

103.3

Launch angle

19.7°

Sweet-spot%

39.3%

Avg distance

320 ft

EV on barrels

103.6

EV on hard-hit

100.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

61.6%

O-Contact%

56.1%

Z-Contact%

84.1%

Contact%

75.3%

SwStr%

10.5%

CSW%

30.4%

In-zone%

47.6%

1st-pitch swing%

22.8%

2-strike K%

47.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.250

7d K%

33.3%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

23.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.250

14d K%

33.3%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.247

30d K%

38.1%

30d Barrel%

0.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.351

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.432

Behind xwOBA(con)

.279

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.401

Ahead Whiff%

20.1%

2-strike Whiff%

24.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.286

RISP

.240

Loaded

.371

High leverage

.279

Clutch

.428

Innings 1-3

.387

Innings 4-6

.346

Innings 7+

.389

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Aug 2, 2026 · -123

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 31, 2026 · +265

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 4, 2026 · -113

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 1.5 Total Bases

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 17, 2026 · +175

WIN

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 13, 2026 · -121

WIN

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