MLB · NL Central

Matt McLain

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati Reds2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Matt McLain has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
40%43%45%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%7%16%
Over 2.5
0%0%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%10%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
20%23%26%
Over 2.5
10%13%14%
Over 3.5
10%10%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.190↓

OBP

.288

SLG

.332

OPS

.620

27%

Last 10: 4-for-27 (.148) · 1 HR · 10 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 330 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.376

Avg Exit V

86.6 mph

Barrel %

9.0%

Hard-Hit %

38.3%

Chase %

25.6%

Whiff %

24.5%

K %

27.0%

BB %

11.2%

Where he hits it

37%

Pull

30%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 90.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.736OPS79 PA

vs RHP.585OPS251 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	15	.213	.493	.327	19.3%	20.0%	30.0%	7.5%	86.4 mph	34.4°
Curveball	23	.112	.112	.357	31.0%	21.7%	71.1%	5.4%	95.0 mph	10.7°
Changeup	27	.126	.166	.208	32.3%	29.6%	10.2%	0.0%	77.6 mph	12.2°
Sinker	62	.290	.476	.368	11.2%	14.5%	38.9%	8.3%	84.7 mph	9.6°
Slider	95	.182	.342	.288	27.9%	30.5%	31.0%	12.5%	85.9 mph	22.2°
Four-seam	98	.173	.284	.319	25.8%	34.7%	47.2%	11.1%	90.6 mph	27.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.332

xSLG

.556

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

110.5

EV90

103.2

Launch angle

19.8°

Sweet-spot%

39.8%

Avg distance

320 ft

EV on barrels

103.3

EV on hard-hit

100.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

61.7%

O-Contact%

56.3%

Z-Contact%

84.2%

Contact%

75.5%

SwStr%

10.5%

CSW%

30.2%

In-zone%

47.6%

1st-pitch swing%

22.4%

2-strike K%

47.1%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.337

7d K%

28.6%

7d Barrel%

7.1%

7d Whiff%

21.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.337

14d K%

28.6%

14d Barrel%

7.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.318

30d K%

30.4%

30d Barrel%

6.7%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.351

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.429

Behind xwOBA(con)

.279

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.398

Ahead Whiff%

20.0%

2-strike Whiff%

24.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.289

RISP

.240

Loaded

.371

High leverage

.281

Clutch

.420

Innings 1-3

.386

Innings 4-6

.358

Innings 7+

.385

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Aug 2, 2026 · -123

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 31, 2026 · +265

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 4, 2026 · -113

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 1.5 Total Bases

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 17, 2026 · +175

WIN

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 13, 2026 · -121

WIN

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