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MLB · NL Central

Matt McLain

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati Reds2BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Matt McLain has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    40%43%45%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%7%16%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%10%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    20%23%26%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%14%
  • Over 3.5
    10%10%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.190↓

OBP

.288

SLG

.332

OPS

.620

HR

9

K%

27%

Last 10: 4-for-27 (.148) · 1 HR · 10 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 330 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.376
64
Avg Exit V
86.6 mph
31
Barrel %
9.0%
65
Hard-Hit %
38.3%
22
Chase %
25.6%
78
Whiff %
24.5%
39
K %
27.0%
22
BB %
11.2%
82

Where he hits it

16%LF24%LCF17%CF17%RCF14%RF← Pull

37%

Pull

30%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 90.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.736OPS79 PA
vs RHP.585OPS251 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter11.0002.000.8830.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%69.2 mph24.0°
Slider4.250.250.30125.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%69.2 mph12.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.332
xSLG
.556
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
110.5
EV90
103.2
Launch angle
19.8°
Sweet-spot%
39.8%
Avg distance
320 ft
EV on barrels
103.3
EV on hard-hit
100.7
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
61.7%
O-Contact%
56.3%
Z-Contact%
84.2%
Contact%
75.5%
SwStr%
10.5%
CSW%
30.2%
In-zone%
47.6%
1st-pitch swing%
22.4%
2-strike K%
47.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.337
7d K%
28.6%
7d Barrel%
7.1%
7d Whiff%
21.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.337
14d K%
28.6%
14d Barrel%
7.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.318
30d K%
30.4%
30d Barrel%
6.7%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.351
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.429
Behind xwOBA(con)
.279
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.398
Ahead Whiff%
20.0%
2-strike Whiff%
24.3%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.289
RISP
.240
Loaded
.371
High leverage
.281
Clutch
.420
Innings 1-3
.386
Innings 4-6
.358
Innings 7+
.385

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Aug 2, 2026 · -123

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 31, 2026 · +265

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 4, 2026 · -113

LOSS

Matt McLain OVER 1.5 Total Bases

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 17, 2026 · +175

WIN

Matt McLain OVER 0.5 Hits

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 13, 2026 · -121

WIN

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Learn the betting side

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