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MLB · NL Central

Michael Busch

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs1BBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Michael Busch has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%70%65%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%27%21%
  • Over 2.5
    10%10%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%17%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%37%36%
  • Over 2.5
    30%33%23%
  • Over 3.5
    10%23%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.240↓

OBP

.352

SLG

.389

OPS

.741

HR

14

K%

23%

Last 10: 9-for-43 (.209) · 1 HR · 6 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 509 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.367
59
Avg Exit V
88.1 mph
48
Barrel %
9.5%
69
Hard-Hit %
44.0%
41
Chase %
25.3%
80
Whiff %
23.7%
42
K %
22.6%
47
BB %
13.0%
92

Where he hits it

11%LF19%LCF17%CF19%RCF25%RFPull →

44%

Pull

28%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 23% of BIP · 95.8 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.749OPS152 PA
vs RHP.738OPS357 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

1 pitch · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Slider50.225.250.29036.8%34.0%37.0%3.7%83.1 mph8.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.318
xSLG
.553
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Launch angle
14.3°
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
1st-pitch swing%
34.4%
2-strike K%
43.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Clutch
.312
Innings 1-3
.372
Innings 4-6
.385
Innings 7+
.345

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Michael Busch OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 19, 2026 · +178

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.