MLB · NL Central

Michael Busch

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Michael Busch has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%70%65%
Over 1.5▲ hot
30%27%21%
Over 2.5
0%10%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%17%12%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%37%35%
Over 2.5
20%33%23%
Over 3.5
10%23%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.240↓

OBP

.352

SLG

.389

OPS

.741

23%

Last 10: 9-for-43 (.209) · 1 HR · 6 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 509 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.367

Avg Exit V

88.1 mph

Barrel %

9.5%

Hard-Hit %

44.0%

Chase %

25.3%

Whiff %

23.7%

K %

22.6%

BB %

13.0%

Where he hits it

44%

Pull

28%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 23% of BIP · 95.8 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.749OPS152 PA

vs RHP.738OPS357 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

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6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	35	.301	.514	.334	10.8%	14.3%	36.4%	7.3%	90.7 mph	11.0°
Changeup	25	.240	.240	.209	38.0%	40.0%	20.0%	0.0%	84.9 mph	9.3°
Slider	21	.264	.372	.306	30.1%	23.8%	61.4%	0.0%	91.4 mph	18.8°
Sinker	15	.356	.556	.363	7.3%	6.7%	32.4%	16.2%	89.6 mph	4.8°
Curveball	5	.333	.667	.429	12.5%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	84.7 mph	13.3°
Cutter	4	.000	.000	.315	41.7%	50.0%	100.0%	0.0%	96.7 mph	7.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.318

xSLG

.553

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.2

EV90

102.0

Launch angle

14.3°

Sweet-spot%

36.7%

Avg distance

290 ft

EV on barrels

102.7

EV on hard-hit

100.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

64.6%

O-Contact%

54.4%

Z-Contact%

86.0%

Contact%

76.3%

SwStr%

10.3%

CSW%

26.4%

In-zone%

46.6%

1st-pitch swing%

34.4%

2-strike K%

43.9%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.311

7d K%

16.7%

7d Barrel%

4.2%

7d Whiff%

19.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.330

14d K%

18.3%

14d Barrel%

6.4%

30d xwOBA(con)

.351

30d K%

21.8%

30d Barrel%

5.1%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.398

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.409

Behind xwOBA(con)

.348

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.355

Ahead Whiff%

22.2%

2-strike Whiff%

24.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.339

RISP

.370

Loaded

.425

High leverage

.371

Clutch

.312

Innings 1-3

.372

Innings 4-6

.385

Innings 7+

.345

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Michael Busch OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 19, 2026 · +178

LOSS

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