MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%70%69%
Over 1.5▲ hot
40%33%24%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%10%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
20%7%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%40%36%
Over 2.5▲ hot
30%17%14%
Over 3.5▲ hot
20%13%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.257↑

OBP

.319

SLG

.355

OPS

.674

Last 10: 14-for-38 (.368) · 2 HR · 6 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 483 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.320

Avg Exit V

86.1 mph

Barrel %

1.0%

Hard-Hit %

30.3%

Chase %

31.6%

Whiff %

11.0%

K %

8.5%

100

BB %

7.7%

Where he hits it

36%

Pull

31%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 25% of BIP · 87.7 mph · 39° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.775OPS125 PA

vs RHP.638OPS358 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	26	.282	.363	.340	7.7%	11.5%	31.2%	0.0%	92.2 mph	15.5°
Sinker	25	.280	.280	.373	2.8%	4.0%	29.4%	0.0%	86.5 mph	4.0°
Slider	22	.382	.573	.303	24.2%	27.3%	26.7%	0.0%	87.9 mph	15.5°
Changeup	10	.450	.575	.385	9.1%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	87.1 mph	15.7°
Cutter	5	.400	.400	.385	0.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	80.4 mph	0.4°
Curveball	4	.000	.000	.274	16.7%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	84.7 mph	17.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.330

xSLG

.415

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

105.8

EV90

99.9

Launch angle

12.7°

Sweet-spot%

39.1%

Avg distance

256 ft

EV on barrels

98.7

EV on hard-hit

98.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

60.9%

O-Contact%

75.6%

Z-Contact%

96.3%

Contact%

89.0%

SwStr%

5.0%

CSW%

24.2%

In-zone%

49.0%

1st-pitch swing%

23.8%

2-strike K%

20.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.437

7d K%

11.1%

7d Barrel%

4.3%

7d Whiff%

13.6%

14d xwOBA(con)

.437

14d K%

14.8%

14d Barrel%

2.2%

30d xwOBA(con)

.384

30d K%

12.2%

30d Barrel%

1.2%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.366

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.301

Behind xwOBA(con)

.292

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.304

Ahead Whiff%

8.4%

2-strike Whiff%

9.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.309

RISP

.296

Loaded

.248

High leverage

.339

Clutch

.353

Innings 1-3

.289

Innings 4-6

.339

Innings 7+

.333

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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