MLB · NL East

Otto Lopez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Miami MarlinsSSBats: R · Throws: R

FormColdPowerAverage

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Otto Lopez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
60%67%76%
Over 1.5▼ cold
20%37%39%
Over 2.5
10%13%12%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
0%13%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
30%43%50%
Over 2.5▼ cold
10%33%28%
Over 3.5▼ cold
10%23%18%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.320↓

OBP

.352

SLG

.477

OPS

.830

14%

Last 10: 9-for-42 (.214) · 0 HR · 4 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 474 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.362

Avg Exit V

88.8 mph

Barrel %

6.6%

Hard-Hit %

46.2%

Chase %

32.8%

Whiff %

18.3%

K %

13.5%

BB %

4.9%

Where he hits it

36%

Pull

30%

Center

34%

Oppo

Pull-air 16% of BIP · 96.0 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.924OPS114 PA

vs RHP.799OPS360 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	38	.306	.385	.276	15.2%	7.9%	51.6%	0.0%	89.6 mph	0.6°
Curveball	40	.180	.258	.202	32.3%	32.5%	20.4%	3.4%	81.0 mph	6.6°
Changeup	76	.260	.369	.172	27.1%	26.3%	22.5%	1.5%	83.4 mph	11.6°
Sinker	91	.385	.592	.457	4.6%	5.5%	58.0%	10.6%	93.6 mph	-1.6°
Four-seam	97	.373	.617	.453	7.2%	8.2%	60.1%	13.2%	95.7 mph	16.2°
Slider	123	.328	.480	.307	24.9%	12.2%	29.9%	4.6%	84.7 mph	8.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.339

xSLG

.513

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.8

EV90

105.0

Launch angle

7.5°

Sweet-spot%

33.3%

Avg distance

229 ft

EV on barrels

103.8

EV on hard-hit

101.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

61.6%

O-Contact%

63.5%

Z-Contact%

92.0%

Contact%

81.7%

SwStr%

8.6%

CSW%

28.1%

In-zone%

48.4%

1st-pitch swing%

19.0%

2-strike K%

29.2%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.337

7d K%

6.3%

7d Barrel%

3.5%

7d Whiff%

12.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.294

14d K%

9.3%

14d Barrel%

2.2%

30d xwOBA(con)

.329

30d K%

12.9%

30d Barrel%

5.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.341

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.436

Behind xwOBA(con)

.306

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.307

Ahead Whiff%

15.8%

2-strike Whiff%

16.6%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.389

RISP

.309

Loaded

.000

High leverage

.398

Clutch

.330

Innings 1-3

.342

Innings 4-6

.371

Innings 7+

.379

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Otto Lopez OVER 0.5 HR

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins · Jun 19, 2026 · +1100

LOSS

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