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MLB · NL East

Otto Lopez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Miami MarlinsSSBats: R · Throws: R
FormColdPowerAverage

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Otto Lopez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%67%76%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%37%40%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%12%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%10%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    40%43%50%
  • Over 2.5
    20%33%28%
  • Over 3.5
    10%20%18%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.318↓

OBP

.351

SLG

.475

OPS

.826

HR

9

K%

13%

Last 10: 9-for-43 (.209) · 0 HR · 4 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 482 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.359
51
Avg Exit V
88.8 mph
57
Barrel %
6.4%
40
Hard-Hit %
45.8%
50
Chase %
32.7%
35
Whiff %
18.2%
79
K %
13.3%
94
BB %
4.8%
13

Where he hits it

14%LF25%LCF18%CF22%RCF14%RF← Pull

36%

Pull

30%

Center

34%

Oppo

Pull-air 17% of BIP · 95.4 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.924OPS114 PA
vs RHP.795OPS368 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter40.315.390.27514.9%7.5%51.6%0.0%89.6 mph0.7°
Changeup77.256.364.17427.2%26.0%23.6%1.5%83.8 mph11.3°
Sinker94.371.570.4494.5%5.3%57.0%10.2%93.6 mph-1.1°
Slider124.334.484.30925.1%12.1%30.6%4.6%84.8 mph8.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.336
xSLG
.507
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.8
EV90
105.0
Launch angle
7.8°
Sweet-spot%
33.4%
Avg distance
229 ft
EV on barrels
103.8
EV on hard-hit
101.6
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
61.9%
O-Contact%
63.7%
Z-Contact%
92.0%
Contact%
81.8%
SwStr%
8.5%
CSW%
28.0%
In-zone%
48.4%
1st-pitch swing%
19.1%
2-strike K%
29.0%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.289
7d K%
7.7%
7d Barrel%
4.3%
7d Whiff%
10.6%
14d xwOBA(con)
.283
14d K%
7.5%
14d Barrel%
2.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.286
30d K%
13.3%
30d Barrel%
2.6%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.336
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.425
Behind xwOBA(con)
.305
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.309
Ahead Whiff%
15.5%
2-strike Whiff%
16.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.392
RISP
.307
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.397
Clutch
.330
Innings 1-3
.341
Innings 4-6
.365
Innings 7+
.373

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Otto Lopez OVER 0.5 HR

San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins · Jun 19, 2026 · +1100

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

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