MLB · AL Central
Patrick Bailey
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
League-average power.
Prop hit rates
How often Patrick Bailey has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.540%47%43%
- Over 1.510%13%7%
- Over 2.510%7%3%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot30%13%8%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▲ hot30%27%18%
- Over 2.5▲ hot30%20%13%
- Over 3.5▲ hot30%13%8%
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At a glance
AVG
.194↑
OBP
.248
SLG
.313
OPS
.561
HR
6
K%
25%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 230 PA.
Where he hits it
45%
Pull
22%
Center
33%
Oppo
Pull-air 26% of BIP · 94.4 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 15 | .286 | .429 | .433 | 26.3% | 13.3% | 53.8% | 7.7% | 87.0 mph | 9.0° |
| Sinker | 26 | .167 | .250 | .300 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 52.4% | 4.8% | 93.6 mph | 13.3° |
| Slider | 35 | .257 | .371 | .225 | 31.4% | 28.6% | 38.5% | 3.9% | 90.0 mph | 11.9° |
| Changeup | 39 | .079 | .079 | .191 | 25.9% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 83.4 mph | 6.0° |
| Four-seam | 57 | .231 | .442 | .344 | 23.1% | 38.6% | 56.8% | 13.5% | 93.0 mph | 17.8° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.
Recent SkegBets picks
Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases
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Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases
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Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases
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Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Hits
Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins · Jul 11, 2026 · -107