MLB · AL Central

Patrick Bailey

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cleveland GuardiansCBats: S · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Patrick Bailey has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
30%47%43%
Over 1.5
10%17%7%
Over 2.5
10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
20%10%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
20%27%17%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%20%12%
Over 3.5▲ hot
20%10%7%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.192↑

OBP

.247

SLG

.298

OPS

.545

25%

Last 10: 8-for-35 (.229) · 2 HR · 7 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 227 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.351

Avg Exit V

88.9 mph

Barrel %

6.5%

Hard-Hit %

47.1%

Chase %

33.1%

Whiff %

24.8%

K %

24.7%

BB %

7.0%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

21%

Center

34%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 94.4 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.542OPS33 PA

vs RHP.544OPS194 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · last 30 days · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	3	.333	.333	.255	36.4%	33.3%	100.0%	0.0%	105.5 mph	-2.5°
Curveball	4	.000	.000	.360	28.6%	25.0%	33.3%	0.0%	86.0 mph	2.0°
Sinker	6	.200	.200	.214	20.0%	16.7%	50.0%	0.0%	92.0 mph	7.5°
Slider	8	.250	.625	.226	9.1%	12.5%	28.6%	0.0%	90.5 mph	30.4°
Changeup	9	.111	.111	.187	7.7%	0.0%	44.4%	0.0%	90.1 mph	8.4°
Four-seam	17	.286	.786	.471	30.3%	35.3%	66.7%	33.3%	98.6 mph	32.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.316

xSLG

.520

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.2

EV90

103.5

Launch angle

12.6°

Sweet-spot%

31.0%

Avg distance

298 ft

EV on barrels

104.6

EV on hard-hit

100.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

70.8%

O-Contact%

58.5%

Z-Contact%

83.9%

Contact%

75.2%

SwStr%

12.6%

CSW%

26.8%

In-zone%

47.3%

1st-pitch swing%

45.8%

2-strike K%

42.8%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.172

7d K%

16.7%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

30.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.442

14d K%

19.4%

14d Barrel%

13.6%

30d xwOBA(con)

.377

30d K%

22.2%

30d Barrel%

7.9%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.342

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.389

Behind xwOBA(con)

.279

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.295

Ahead Whiff%

16.3%

2-strike Whiff%

22.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.259

RISP

.285

Loaded

.117

High leverage

.271

Clutch

.246

Innings 1-3

.327

Innings 4-6

.368

Innings 7+

.354

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

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