MLB · AL Central

Patrick Bailey

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cleveland GuardiansCBats: S · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Patrick Bailey has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
40%47%43%
Over 1.5
10%13%7%
Over 2.5
10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
30%13%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
30%27%18%
Over 2.5▲ hot
30%20%13%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%13%8%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.194↑

OBP

.248

SLG

.313

OPS

.561

25%

Last 10: 8-for-34 (.235) · 3 HR · 8 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 230 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.360

Avg Exit V

89.1 mph

Barrel %

7.0%

Hard-Hit %

48.4%

Chase %

33.0%

Whiff %

24.9%

K %

24.8%

BB %

7.0%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

22%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 26% of BIP · 94.4 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.542OPS33 PA

vs RHP.563OPS197 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	15	.286	.429	.433	26.3%	13.3%	53.8%	7.7%	87.0 mph	9.0°
Curveball	18	.200	.200	.367	30.0%	22.2%	25.0%	0.0%	84.2 mph	2.9°
Sinker	31	.194	.263	.322	12.1%	9.7%	48.0%	4.0%	93.1 mph	13.6°
Changeup	39	.079	.079	.191	25.9%	10.3%	20.0%	2.9%	83.4 mph	6.0°
Slider	44	.250	.409	.239	31.8%	31.8%	34.0%	6.5%	87.4 mph	14.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.321

xSLG

.537

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.2

EV90

103.5

Launch angle

12.6°

Sweet-spot%

31.2%

Avg distance

300 ft

EV on barrels

104.6

EV on hard-hit

101.0

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

71.0%

O-Contact%

58.1%

Z-Contact%

83.8%

Contact%

75.0%

SwStr%

12.7%

CSW%

26.9%

In-zone%

47.3%

1st-pitch swing%

45.6%

2-strike K%

43.2%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.326

7d K%

20.0%

7d Barrel%

9.1%

7d Whiff%

32.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.472

14d K%

16.1%

14d Barrel%

13.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.410

30d K%

22.8%

30d Barrel%

10.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.342

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.392

Behind xwOBA(con)

.279

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.295

Ahead Whiff%

16.8%

2-strike Whiff%

22.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.268

RISP

.285

Loaded

.117

High leverage

.267

Clutch

.246

Innings 1-3

.352

Innings 4-6

.370

Innings 7+

.354

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

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