MLB · AL Central

Patrick Bailey

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cleveland GuardiansCBats: S · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Patrick Bailey has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
30%47%43%
Over 1.5
10%17%7%
Over 2.5
10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
20%10%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
20%27%17%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%20%12%
Over 3.5▲ hot
20%10%7%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.194↑

OBP

.248

SLG

.313

OPS

.561

25%

Last 10: 8-for-34 (.235) · 3 HR · 8 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 230 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.360

Avg Exit V

89.1 mph

Barrel %

7.0%

Hard-Hit %

48.4%

Chase %

33.0%

Whiff %

24.9%

K %

24.8%

BB %

7.0%

Where he hits it

45%

Pull

22%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 26% of BIP · 94.4 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.542OPS33 PA

vs RHP.563OPS197 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	21	.231	.636	.424	30.9%	38.1%	54.0%	27.0%	98.1 mph	31.1°
Changeup	9	.111	.111	.187	7.7%	0.0%	44.4%	0.0%	90.1 mph	8.4°
Slider	8	.250	.625	.226	9.1%	12.5%	28.6%	0.0%	82.9 mph	27.9°
Cutter	3	.333	.333	.255	36.4%	33.3%	100.0%	0.0%	105.5 mph	-2.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.321

xSLG

.537

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Launch angle

12.6°

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

1st-pitch swing%

45.6%

2-strike K%

43.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Clutch

.246

Innings 1-3

.352

Innings 4-6

.370

Innings 7+

.354

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 25, 2026 · -127

LOSS

Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians · Jul 22, 2026 · -134

WIN

Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins · Jul 12, 2026 · -132

WIN

Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Hits

Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins · Jul 11, 2026 · -107

WIN

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Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.