MLB · AL Central
Patrick Bailey
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
League-average power.
Prop hit rates
How often Patrick Bailey has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold30%47%43%
- Over 1.510%17%7%
- Over 2.510%7%3%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot20%10%7%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.520%27%17%
- Over 2.5▲ hot20%20%12%
- Over 3.5▲ hot20%10%7%
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At a glance
AVG
.194↑
OBP
.248
SLG
.313
OPS
.561
HR
6
K%
25%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 230 PA.
Where he hits it
45%
Pull
22%
Center
33%
Oppo
Pull-air 26% of BIP · 94.4 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.
Recent SkegBets picks
Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases
Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 25, 2026 · -127
Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases
Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians · Jul 22, 2026 · -134
Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Total Bases
Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins · Jul 12, 2026 · -132
Patrick Bailey OVER 0.5 Hits
Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins · Jul 11, 2026 · -107