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MLB · AL Central

Patrick Bailey

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cleveland GuardiansCBats: S · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Patrick Bailey has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    30%47%43%
  • Over 1.5
    10%17%7%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    20%10%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    20%27%17%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%20%12%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    20%10%7%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.194

OBP

.248

SLG

.313

OPS

.561

HR

6

K%

25%

Last 10: 8-for-34 (.235) · 3 HR · 8 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 230 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.360
52
Avg Exit V
89.1 mph
62
Barrel %
7.0%
46
Hard-Hit %
48.4%
60
Chase %
33.0%
33
Whiff %
24.9%
36
K %
24.8%
35
BB %
7.0%
34

Where he hits it

14%LF18%LCF12%CF24%RCF25%RF

45%

Pull

22%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 26% of BIP · 94.4 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.542OPS33 PA
vs RHP.563OPS197 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam21.231.636.42430.9%38.1%54.0%27.0%98.1 mph31.1°
Changeup9.111.111.1877.7%0.0%44.4%0.0%90.1 mph8.4°
Slider8.250.625.2269.1%12.5%28.6%0.0%82.9 mph27.9°
Sinker7.314.314.27617.1%14.3%42.9%0.0%90.2 mph10.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.321
xSLG
.537
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
109.2
EV90
103.5
Launch angle
12.6°
Sweet-spot%
31.2%
Avg distance
300 ft
EV on barrels
104.6
EV on hard-hit
101.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
71.0%
O-Contact%
58.1%
Z-Contact%
83.8%
Contact%
75.0%
SwStr%
12.7%
CSW%
26.9%
In-zone%
47.3%
1st-pitch swing%
45.6%
2-strike K%
43.2%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.326
7d K%
20.0%
7d Barrel%
9.1%
7d Whiff%
32.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.472
14d K%
16.1%
14d Barrel%
13.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.410
30d K%
22.8%
30d Barrel%
10.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.342
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.392
Behind xwOBA(con)
.279
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.295
Ahead Whiff%
16.8%
2-strike Whiff%
22.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.268
RISP
.285
Loaded
.117
High leverage
.267
Clutch
.246
Innings 1-3
.352
Innings 4-6
.370
Innings 7+
.354

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

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