MLB · NL East

Justin Crawford

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Philadelphia PhilliesOFBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power.

Prop hit rates

How often Justin Crawford has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
50%57%55%
Over 1.5
10%20%16%
Over 2.5
0%3%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%0%2%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▼ cold
10%23%25%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%7%13%
Over 3.5
0%7%5%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.255↓

OBP

.303

SLG

.336

OPS

.639

20%

Last 10: 6-for-27 (.222) · 0 HR · 4 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 320 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.315

Avg Exit V

84.7 mph

Barrel %

0.9%

Hard-Hit %

37.7%

Chase %

38.6%

Whiff %

15.5%

K %

19.7%

BB %

5.6%

Where he hits it

35%

Pull

31%

Center

34%

Oppo

Pull-air 18% of BIP · 92.9 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.544OPS54 PA

vs RHP.657OPS266 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	22	.200	.250	.248	24.4%	4.5%	30.0%	0.0%	86.2 mph	14.5°
Curveball	27	.259	.333	.228	19.1%	29.6%	30.0%	0.0%	88.5 mph	3.9°
Changeup	51	.184	.205	.275	22.0%	13.7%	22.8%	0.0%	83.3 mph	1.5°
Sinker	55	.271	.350	.294	5.9%	18.2%	43.5%	0.0%	85.0 mph	-17.2°
Slider	62	.291	.432	.284	14.1%	22.6%	27.7%	0.0%	84.4 mph	8.0°
Four-seam	91	.294	.388	.281	16.7%	25.3%	38.2%	2.9%	84.1 mph	4.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.324

xSLG

.401

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.2

EV90

101.2

Launch angle

2.5°

Sweet-spot%

31.4%

Avg distance

305 ft

EV on barrels

102.5

EV on hard-hit

100.0

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.7%

O-Contact%

76.2%

Z-Contact%

89.0%

Contact%

84.5%

SwStr%

8.3%

CSW%

24.4%

In-zone%

50.4%

1st-pitch swing%

37.8%

2-strike K%

37.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.359

7d K%

5.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

5.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.289

14d K%

13.3%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.304

30d K%

14.5%

30d Barrel%

0.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.377

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.344

Behind xwOBA(con)

.297

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.288

Ahead Whiff%

17.0%

2-strike Whiff%

13.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.287

RISP

.408

Loaded

.164

High leverage

.324

Clutch

.302

Innings 1-3

.289

Innings 4-6

.332

Innings 7+

.320

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Justin Crawford OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles · Jul 31, 2026 · +200

LOSS

Justin Crawford OVER 0.5 Hits

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jul 24, 2026 · -134

LOSS

Justin Crawford OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jul 20, 2026 · -143

WIN

Justin Crawford OVER 0.5 HR

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 17, 2026 · +1150

LOSS

Justin Crawford OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers · Jun 12, 2026 · -110

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.